Asteras Stavros vs Trikala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
14º
8º
46
3º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 76 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 53 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
46 | 52 |
9º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 51 |
10º
|
36.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 50 |
11º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
56.5% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 34 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 10 |
17º
|
99% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 2 |
18º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asteras Stavros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VAT
0 - 2
ASS
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
GAS
20%
20%
60%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ASS
0 - 0
MGN
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EOR
1 - 1
ASS
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ASS
2 - 0
KAS
27%
22%
51%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Trikala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 1
AST
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
4 - 0
VAT
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 2
ZAK
47%
25%
27%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GAS
0 - 2
TRI
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 1
EOR
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |