Franciacorta vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
LEN
2 - 0
ADR
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
USD
5 - 2
ADR
24%
22%
54%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ADR
2 - 4
CAL
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
2 - 1
ADR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ADR
1 - 1
SAM
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 2
COR
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 1
FIO
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MEZ
0 - 0
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
CRE
28%
22%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
PRO
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |