Franciacorta vs Navecortine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
DAK
3 - 1
ADR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 3
SZE
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ROD
3 - 4
ADR
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ADR
1 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VOB
1 - 3
ADR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Navecortine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 0
BOR
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REA
0 - 1
NAV
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
VAL
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 2
DAK
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SZE
0 - 2
NAV
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |