Franciacorta vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 4
ADR
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
4 - 1
ARC
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VCB
1 - 1
ADR
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ADR
2 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SON
1 - 1
ADR
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
ARC
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
CAL
65%
19%
15%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 3
FOL
26%
25%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 0
LEO
81%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |