Franciacorta vs Crema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franciacorta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USB
5 - 1
ADR
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ADR
5 - 2
CAS
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ADR
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
ADR
3 - 3
OLG
69%
19%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
ADR
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
CRE
38%
25%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 3
CRE
34%
23%
44%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 2
VCB
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 1
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |