Fuente Alamo vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.7%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fuente Alamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 1
MSM
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 3
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
PAL
20%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 3
MEN
37%
21%
42%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
RAA
80%
12%
7%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MSM
1 - 3
VIL
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDL
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CDB
3 - 0
VIL
43%
22%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
5 - 0
ALB
86%
10%
5%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |