ADC San Fermín vs ADEF Usera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
23.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CSP
3 - 4
SAN
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ORC
5 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
23%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDM
57%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
DPS
1 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
14%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 2
CIU
49%
23%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
ADEF Usera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EFU
2 - 3
EFC
19%
21%
61%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
EFU
4 - 3
ADC
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SVI
4 - 1
EFU
69%
17%
14%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
EFU
1 - 7
VSB
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BVC
3 - 1
EFU
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |