ADC San Fermín vs Buenavista Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
-85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC San Fermín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
GCE
3 - 1
SAN
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 3
LCB
69%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 0
NPA
33%
23%
44%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VAB
2 - 2
SAN
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 1
ADP
32%
22%
46%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Buenavista Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BVC
3 - 1
ORC
46%
21%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
DPS
3 - 0
BVC
55%
20%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GCE
3 - 2
BVC
37%
22%
42%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BVC
4 - 0
LCB
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ALZ
2 - 1
BVC
43%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |