ADO 20 vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
DEM
2 - 2
ADO
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
QUI
2 - 0
ADO
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 1
OOS
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
HSC
1 - 0
ADO
53%
21%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ADO
1 - 3
WES
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
OSS
4 - 2
GEM
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
GRO
0 - 1
OSS
32%
25%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
OSS
4 - 2
USV
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LIE
1 - 4
OSS
15%
20%
66%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EVV
0 - 1
OSS
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |