Admira Wacker vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
RIE
2 - 0
AWM
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
AWM
0 - 3
FCK
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
RAP
1 - 2
AWM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AWM
1 - 0
RBS
27%
27%
45%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
GRA
5 - 1
AWM
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2002 |
STR
3 - 0
SWB
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
STR
2 - 0
RIE
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
RBS
1 - 2
STR
42%
25%
33%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
STR
0 - 4
RAP
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
STR
2 - 3
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |