Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 4-3
Admira Wacker vs Spartak Myjava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 0
TER
39%
28%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
3 - 0
KAP
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
2 - 1
WIE
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
AWM
2 - 1
ČUK
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
AWM
0 - 5
RBS
25%
23%
52%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Spartak Myjava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
SMY
2 - 0
ZLI
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
PGL
4 - 3
SMY
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
SEN
1 - 1
SMY
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SMY
1 - 0
RUZ
52%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SMY
3 - 0
DAC
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |