Admira Wacker II vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Admira Wacker II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
VIE
2 - 0
ADM
70%
18%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
ADM
2 - 3
EIS
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
RIT
1 - 1
ADM
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
ADM
2 - 3
AUS
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
SCH
0 - 1
ADM
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 3
PAR
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
FCW
0 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
VIE
4 - 1
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 5
EIS
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -3 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
RIT
0 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |