ESAE vs Tonnerre FC analysis


33	ELO	31
-20.6%	Tilt	-15.8%
21667º	General ELO ranking	10150º
41º	Country ELO ranking	32º
ELO win probability

43.4%

ESAE

25.5%

Draw

31.2%

Tonnerre FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

43.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%

25.4%

Draw

0-0

6.6%

1-1

12.1%

2-2

5.5%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.1%

0

25.4%

31.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ESAE

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
12 May. 2013	ASP 0 - 0 ADJ 52% 24% 24%	32	32
08 May. 2013	AVR 0 - 0 ADJ 41% 27% 32%	32	32
05 May. 2013	BUF 2 - 1 ADJ 47% 26% 28%	32	32
28 Apr. 2013	POL 1 - 0 ADJ 52% 24% 25%	32	32
25 Apr. 2013	ASO 1 - 0 ADJ 50% 24% 26%	32	32

Matches

Tonnerre FC

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
08 May. 2013	TON 1 - 1 ASO 44% 26% 30%	32	32
05 May. 2013	TON 1 - 0 POL 43% 26% 31%	32	32
28 Apr. 2013	AKA 1 - 1 TON 49% 24% 27%	32	32
24 Apr. 2013	TON 1 - 0 AVR 44% 26% 30%	32	32
21 Apr. 2013	TON 1 - 0 ASP 46% 26% 28%	32	32