ESAE vs Mogas 90 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 0
TON
43%
26%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 0
ADJ
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
AVR
0 - 0
ADJ
41%
27%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BUF
2 - 1
ADJ
47%
26%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
POL
1 - 0
ADJ
52%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mogas 90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
MOG
46%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
SEM
52%
24%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
AKA
1 - 1
MOG
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
JEU
2 - 0
MOG
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
MOG
0 - 0
ASP
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |