ESAE vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
31.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
ASV
0 - 0
ADJ
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ADJ
1 - 0
SEM
35%
31%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
UPI
2 - 1
ADJ
26%
24%
50%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DRA
2 - 1
ADJ
43%
29%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ADJ
0 - 0
ENE
33%
29%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 2
ENE
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AYE
1 - 0
ASP
41%
29%
31%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 0
AVR
57%
25%
18%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ASP
1 - 0
BEK
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ASP
0 - 0
ASO
57%
25%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |