ESAE vs ASPAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESAE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
1 - 0
BUF
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ADJ
0 - 1
POL
45%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
PAN
2 - 1
ADJ
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AKA
2 - 1
ADJ
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 0
ADJ
48%
25%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ASPAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ASP
0 - 0
SEM
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ASP
4 - 1
TON
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
JEU
1 - 0
ASP
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
AVR
1 - 1
ASP
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |