Costa Tropical vs Purullena CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Tropical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PMO
1 - 2
ADF
15%
17%
68%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ADF
0 - 0
CUL
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CFV
2 - 2
ADF
52%
20%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADF
2 - 1
GAB
46%
21%
33%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MON
4 - 0
ADF
29%
21%
51%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Purullena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
PUR
4 - 2
SAL
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
OTU
0 - 4
PUR
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
PUR
2 - 2
GUA
26%
22%
53%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 2
PUR
73%
16%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PUR
2 - 1
VAN
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |