Adev Zafiro vs Derecho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adev Zafiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
3 - 3
ZAF
66%
18%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
POZ
3 - 1
ZAF
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZAF
5 - 3
ATL
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RVA
1 - 0
ZAF
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ZAF
0 - 1
VCD
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derecho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 3
DER
34%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
RVA
33%
22%
46%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VCD
3 - 2
DER
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
BOS
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
DER
4 - 4
AGU
34%
23%
43%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |