Adev Zafiro vs CD Aleste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adev Zafiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
VNB
2 - 5
ZAF
63%
18%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
TUD
3 - 4
ZAF
49%
20%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ZAF
2 - 3
NIC
39%
21%
41%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
4 - 1
ZAF
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ZAF
1 - 0
SEC
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Aleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
ALE
5 - 4
TUD
18%
18%
64%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
ALE
68%
18%
15%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
ALE
0 - 0
RAC
32%
21%
47%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
UDS
4 - 4
ALE
52%
20%
28%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
ALE
3 - 2
RVA
31%
22%
48%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |