Adelaide Comets vs MetroStars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Adelaide Comets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
4 - 2
ADE
81%
12%
6%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
2 - 1
CUM
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
ADE
0 - 1
WAD
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 3
ADE
59%
21%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 4
NEM
39%
24%
37%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
MetroStars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NEM
3 - 0
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
NEM
3 - 1
CRO
50%
24%
27%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
NEM
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NEM
1 - 0
ADE
76%
16%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ADE
1 - 4
NEM
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |