ADC Frazão vs Caíde Rei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC Frazão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FRA
3 - 0
MEL
25%
22%
53%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
NUN
1 - 1
FRA
81%
13%
7%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FRA
4 - 2
AEI
12%
18%
71%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
FRA
54%
22%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 3
ATA
10%
17%
73%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Caíde Rei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 3
NUN
21%
22%
57%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AEI
3 - 0
CAI
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAI
2 - 1
LIV
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATA
3 - 1
CAI
79%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAI
1 - 1
VBQ
71%
17%
13%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |