ADC Castilla vs San Lorenzo A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
73.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+350%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
EFM
5 - 2
CAS
72%
16%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
LRO
12%
16%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GDC
1 - 1
CAS
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
CAS
73%
15%
12%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 5
GAL
37%
22%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
San Lorenzo A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
2 - 2
BOA
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
UCV
2 - 3
SLO
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 2
PDM
49%
21%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 3
SLO
12%
17%
71%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SLO
4 - 3
VDO
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |