ADC Castilla vs Samba-Las Rozas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+656%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ADC Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
PDM
1 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 1
PRO
63%
18%
19%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CJP
2 - 2
CAS
34%
21%
45%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
EES
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TCF
2 - 2
CAS
35%
22%
44%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Samba-Las Rozas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SLR
4 - 2
BOA
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
3 - 1
SLR
72%
15%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
PDM
3 - 1
SLR
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SLR
3 - 0
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CJP
3 - 3
SLR
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |