Abetxuko vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abetxuko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ZUI
0 - 1
ADC
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ADC
4 - 6
CDF
22%
19%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 3
ADC
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ADC
1 - 2
AMU
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 3
ADC
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CDF
1 - 4
ARI
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 1
AMU
67%
18%
16%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CDS
0 - 1
ARI
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 4
IRU
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 3
IRU
75%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |