Abetxuko vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abetxuko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
AUR
6 - 0
ADC
76%
16%
8%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
IRU
4 - 2
ADC
54%
22%
24%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ADC
0 - 0
ZAR
24%
24%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ELP
3 - 0
ADC
69%
18%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ADC
2 - 1
ALE
21%
23%
56%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 1
ZAR
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
ELP
1 - 3
ARI
47%
24%
30%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
ALE
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VUL
2 - 2
ARI
48%
24%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
1 - 1
IZA
54%
23%
24%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |