A Piringalla vs Candelaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
38%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A Piringalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
MUI
1 - 0
PNG
31%
22%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
PNG
1 - 1
IBE
16%
19%
65%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
PNG
0 - 3
PON
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PNG
0 - 0
CAB
44%
21%
35%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
FOL
6 - 1
PNG
76%
14%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Candelaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
3 - 0
PON
21%
21%
58%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
2 - 0
CAN
51%
23%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 2
CAB
43%
23%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FOL
3 - 1
CAN
82%
12%
7%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 1
XER
19%
22%
59%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |