Vilar de Santos vs Toen FS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vilar de Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 0
VIL
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 2
MER
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
OUR
1 - 0
VIL
68%
17%
15%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
BUB
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toen FS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOE
41%
21%
39%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
TOE
1 - 0
SOU
37%
22%
42%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
TOE
33%
23%
44%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TOE
2 - 2
OUR
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BUB
0 - 3
TOE
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |