AD Tranviaria vs AD Ferroviaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Tranviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
TRA
0 - 1
HUE
51%
21%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
FER
4 - 0
TRA
56%
21%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
HUE
1 - 0
TRA
58%
20%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
AD Ferroviaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
ARE
2 - 6
FER
56%
20%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
FER
4 - 0
TRA
56%
21%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
FER
4 - 0
ARE
49%
22%
29%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 1933 |
FER
0 - 2
VAD
27%
22%
51%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 1933 |
FER
1 - 2
NAM
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |