Sercal vs Unión Valdebernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
78.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17%
0-4
7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sercal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LAM
2 - 2
SER
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SER
2 - 0
VIC
31%
22%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SVB
3 - 0
SER
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
4 - 1
SER
67%
17%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 2
RIV
15%
18%
67%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Valdebernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UNI
14 - 0
VIL
91%
7%
2%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 5
UNI
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LAM
0 - 15
UNI
8%
14%
78%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UNI
5 - 1
VIC
88%
8%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SVB
1 - 2
UNI
9%
15%
76%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |