Saucillo vs Tejeda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saucillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
SAU
30%
22%
49%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 0
SSJ
36%
21%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
TCA
0 - 2
SAU
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 4
SAU
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SAU
4 - 2
SAR
26%
20%
53%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Tejeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
TEJ
5 - 2
TCA
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAR
8 - 0
TEJ
50%
21%
29%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
TEJ
2 - 2
SAR
14%
17%
70%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
SPA
3 - 1
TEJ
66%
18%
17%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
TEJ
1 - 2
GAR
14%
18%
68%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -1 |