M. Olmedo vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
47.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+414%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 1
MIG
72%
15%
12%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RAC
1 - 1
MIG
58%
21%
20%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
UVA
4 - 0
MIG
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MIG
2 - 4
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MIG
1 - 1
BOE
49%
23%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
3 - 0
RAC
38%
24%
38%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UVA
2 - 0
ARC
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 2
UNI
35%
23%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BOE
4 - 4
ARC
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 2
UDS
34%
22%
45%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |