M. Olmedo vs Arces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1378%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
3 - 3
MIG
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MIG
1 - 1
PAR
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 2
MIG
60%
20%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
MIG
1 - 2
RUE
15%
18%
67%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CIS
1 - 0
MIG
65%
18%
17%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Arces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
SAN
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARC
4 - 0
VIA
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 4
ARC
56%
20%
23%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 1
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
ARC
28%
22%
50%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |