M. Olmedo vs A. Peñafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
75.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-104%
+129%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 1
MIG
51%
21%
28%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MIG
1 - 2
CEC
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 0
MIG
29%
22%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MIG
2 - 3
PAR
25%
21%
54%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ISC
4 - 1
MIG
59%
19%
22%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
JUV
47%
22%
31%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CIS
1 - 8
ATL
21%
21%
59%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 2
ZAR
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SEC
0 - 5
ATL
19%
19%
63%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
LAG
43%
22%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |