AD San José vs Moron analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD San José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 1
ADS
16%
21%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CDA
2 - 1
ADS
54%
22%
24%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
1 - 0
ROC
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
ADS
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ADS
4 - 2
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moron
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
UDM
1 - 1
ROC
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDM
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
2 - 0
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NER
2 - 1
UDM
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDM
0 - 1
ANT
35%
25%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |