AD Portomosense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
ADP
72%
17%
11%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 1
LOU
22%
22%
56%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
2 - 2
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MAF
7 - 2
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 55 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 0
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 0
FAT
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FAT
0 - 0
LOU
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
FAT
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
FAT
30%
27%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |