AD Portomosense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 2
ADP
37%
24%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ADP
2 - 3
UDL
12%
21%
66%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADP
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 43 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 1
ADP
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ADP
0 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
23 | 76 | 53 | -2 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 6
CAL
35%
24%
42%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 0
CAL
73%
17%
10%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -3 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |