AD Portomosense vs Alqueidão Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Portomosense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
PEL
2 - 1
ADP
58%
21%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ADP
0 - 1
PEN
13%
19%
67%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CCA
3 - 1
ADP
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LEM
1 - 0
ADP
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ADP
3 - 2
MDB
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alqueidão Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 1
MDB
34%
23%
43%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CUL
0 - 1
ALQ
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 0
VIE
28%
23%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
NAZ
1 - 0
ALQ
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 1
ALV
36%
23%
41%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |