AD Plus Ultra vs U.D. Amistad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
DBN
1 - 1
PUL
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
PUL
5 - 1
GUA
83%
10%
7%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
CDS
2 - 2
PUL
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PUL
6 - 2
CDM
89%
7%
4%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
CUA
1 - 2
PUL
43%
23%
34%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Amistad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
AMI
3 - 1
CPC
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
AZA
2 - 2
AMI
69%
16%
15%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
AMI
3 - 0
CDT
61%
18%
21%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
ATC
2 - 1
AMI
49%
21%
30%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
AMI
2 - 1
ARA
85%
10%
6%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |