AD Plus Ultra vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.1%
Win probability
4.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.4%
5-0
8.2%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.9%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
5.2%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.2%
2.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
UBC
1 - 2
PUL
31%
23%
47%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
PUL
2 - 0
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
AGR
0 - 8
PUL
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
PUL
5 - 1
SEG
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
MAN
0 - 2
PUL
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
UDG
3 - 2
MAN
67%
17%
16%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
MAN
3 - 2
UDG
86%
9%
5%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
UDG
2 - 2
GUA
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
UDG
0 - 2
CUA
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
PAR
3 - 2
UDG
64%
18%
19%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |