AD Plus Ultra vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CDS
4 - 2
PUL
42%
23%
36%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
PUL
5 - 0
LEG
57%
20%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ARA
2 - 1
PUL
45%
23%
33%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
PUL
1 - 0
RAY
90%
7%
4%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
MER
1 - 2
PUL
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
UDG
1 - 0
GUA
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
CDT
2 - 0
UDG
78%
12%
10%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
UDG
4 - 1
CUA
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
UBC
0 - 2
UDG
43%
22%
35%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
UDG
3 - 1
DBN
65%
18%
18%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |