AD Plus Ultra vs Girod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.86
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
PUE
2 - 2
PUL
56%
20%
24%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
PUL
1 - 2
RAY
89%
7%
4%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
EXT
4 - 2
PUL
58%
20%
22%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
PUL
3 - 0
AMI
85%
9%
6%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
DBN
1 - 1
PUL
46%
22%
32%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Girod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
UDG
1 - 2
CPC
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
AZA
3 - 1
UDG
73%
15%
12%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
UDG
1 - 1
CDT
57%
19%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ATC
1 - 0
UDG
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
UDG
0 - 0
ARA
74%
15%
12%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |