AD Plus Ultra vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
PUL
0 - 1
SDI
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAB
2 - 1
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PUL
1 - 1
RSO
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PON
1 - 1
PUL
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
PUL
0 - 0
CDO
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SPO
5 - 1
ATB
81%
12%
7%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1962 |
SDI
1 - 0
SPO
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ALA
4 - 0
SPO
57%
22%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
SPO
8 - 2
SAB
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
BUR
1 - 2
SPO
45%
23%
33%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |