Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-2
AD Plus Ultra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
2 - 1
ALA
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
PUL
4 - 1
AND
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
CFP
0 - 0
PUL
64%
22%
14%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
PUL
3 - 0
SLA
50%
27%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
TAL
0 - 0
PUL
63%
23%
15%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
CDB
3 - 0
RJA
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
RJA
3 - 1
CPC
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
MAL
4 - 0
RJA
51%
27%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 1971 |
RJA
2 - 1
AFC
80%
15%
5%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1971 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |