AD Plus Ultra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
SFE
3 - 1
PUL
73%
14%
12%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
PUL
5 - 0
CAT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 1956 |
VAL
1 - 1
PUL
75%
14%
11%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
PUL
2 - 2
CDB
62%
19%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
BET
4 - 0
PUL
76%
14%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
RJA
1 - 2
CDC
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
MAL
0 - 2
RJA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
RJA
3 - 0
UDE
71%
16%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
GRA
3 - 3
RJA
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
RJA
2 - 0
EXT
79%
13%
8%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |