AD Plus Ultra vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
RAY
2 - 0
PUL
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
PUL
3 - 0
UBC
90%
7%
3%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
GUA
2 - 2
PUL
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PUL
2 - 1
CDT
85%
9%
6%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
0 - 1
PUL
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
ARA
3 - 0
GUA
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ARA
4 - 3
CDT
70%
16%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CUA
2 - 1
ARA
51%
21%
28%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ARA
3 - 1
UDG
77%
13%
10%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
CDS
2 - 1
ARA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |