AD Plus Ultra vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.2%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
FEM
1 - 1
PUL
30%
26%
43%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
PUL
8 - 0
GDE
84%
10%
6%
|
49 | 23 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
UBC
1 - 1
PUL
30%
27%
44%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
PUL
3 - 0
TOR
85%
10%
5%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PUL
4 - 0
ALC
85%
10%
6%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARA
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
TAL
3 - 1
CAR
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
CAR
6 - 1
ALC
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
SEG
1 - 0
CAR
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
CAR
0 - 0
GDE
71%
17%
12%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |