AD Plus Ultra vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
GDE
1 - 0
PUL
24%
27%
49%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
PUL
7 - 0
AVI
83%
11%
6%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
COL
2 - 3
PUL
26%
25%
50%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
ALC
1 - 0
PUL
26%
27%
47%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
PUL
0 - 0
RAY
67%
17%
16%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1965 |
CAR
2 - 0
CDT
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1965 |
VIL
0 - 3
CAR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1965 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEG
89%
8%
3%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
GDE
4 - 1
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -3 |
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
CAR
2 - 0
AVI
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |