AD Plus Ultra vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.3%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.4%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
AGR
0 - 8
PUL
43%
23%
35%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
PUL
5 - 1
SEG
91%
6%
3%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
MAN
0 - 2
PUL
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 20 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
PUL
4 - 0
MAN
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
GUA
1 - 1
PUL
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
CAR
3 - 1
MAN
86%
9%
5%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 2
MAN
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
GUA
3 - 2
CAR
58%
19%
22%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 0
CUA
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
PAR
0 - 3
CAR
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |