AD Plus Ultra vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
ARA
0 - 0
PUL
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 23 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
PUL
7 - 0
TOR
91%
6%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
PUL
4 - 0
SEG
83%
11%
7%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUL
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
PUL
7 - 0
GDE
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
RAY
2 - 1
UBC
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
TAL
1 - 0
RAY
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
AVI
1 - 1
RAY
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
RAY
2 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
LEG
1 - 4
RAY
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |