AD Plus Ultra vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
21.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
PUL
2 - 2
DEP
47%
23%
31%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
VAD
2 - 1
PUL
80%
12%
8%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
PUL
4 - 0
ATB
81%
12%
8%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
HER
4 - 1
PUL
67%
17%
16%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ALA
3 - 1
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
CEU
2 - 2
HER
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
HER
3 - 1
SFE
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
HER
4 - 1
PUL
67%
17%
16%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
HER
0 - 0
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |